Even as the economy and the markets
sputtered, American Express reported its profits doubled
in the last three months, as customers continued to
leave home with their charge cards.
American Express, the largest charge card issuer,
said profits surged to $687 million from $298 million a
year ago. Last year's profit included special charges
related to Sept. 11
Still, the company, which has been suffering through
the market slump, reported the highest revenue and
income in seven quarters, analysts said, beating
estimates.
"The likelihood of a double-dip is slim, and we're
seeing some of that in American Express's numbers," said
Richard McCaffery, an analyst at Morningstar.
American Express is seen as a window into the
nation's consumer spending patterns. When people lose
their jobs or feel threatened financially, they can
either cut their spending or stop paying their bills.
Neither of those problems hurt American Express in
the three months ending in September. Consumer spending
increased 10%, while the company decreased its loss
reserves by just 8.5% to $939 million, reflecting fewer
loan defaults.
The loss rate "tends to move with the unemployment
rate," Gary Crittenden, the chief financial officer of
American Express, said on a call with analysts. "As
we've seen some improvement in unemployment, we've seen
improvement in our loss rates."
Analysts believe American Express' numbers suggest
there's still hope for an early economic recovery since
the record rate of mortgage refinancing has spurred and
sustained consumer spending.
"We're starting to see the higher end of the credit
spectrum improving slightly," said Jennifer Scutti, an
analyst at CIBC World Markets, who attributed part of
that improvement to mortgage refinancing and debt
consolidation.
Profit in American Express' travel-related services
surged to $553 million, from $248 million a year ago.
At American Express Financial Advisors, which runs
mutual funds that have been pummeled by the stock
market, profits climbed at a more modest pace, gaining
4.8% to $152 million. At American Express Bank, the
smallest piece of earnings for the company, profits were
$25 million, compared to a loss of $43 million a year
ago.
Crittenden said the firm was "still dealing with a
difficult economy and volatile equity markets." Still,
he said American Express, which has cut 13,800 jobs, or
16% of its staff since the end of 2000, is
"better-positioned to operate in a difficult
environment."
American Express maintained its profit outlook for
the year, at $2.01 a share. The company said it would
take some of its savings and reinvest them in marketing
and promotions.
Shares of the charge card company, which have fallen
4% so far this year, rose $1.12 to $34.25.